Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.233319 0.273074 0.320006 0.380172 0.456242 0.550588 6.786567e-01
2025-01-12 0.175650 0.224724 0.290263 0.387008 0.531381 0.748227 1.119148e+00
2025-01-19 0.139748 0.189952 0.263042 0.382829 0.586690 0.947624 1.717301e+00
2025-01-26 0.119535 0.170417 0.249826 0.391955 0.663857 1.227238 2.744930e+00
2025-02-02 0.106249 0.157601 0.242604 0.407008 0.757443 1.605925 4.566126e+00
2025-02-09 0.095481 0.146293 0.234616 0.417190 0.846042 2.051836 7.617423e+00
2025-02-16 0.087351 0.137721 0.229195 0.430245 0.948710 2.648448 1.355062e+01
2025-02-23 0.080124 0.129410 0.222318 0.437791 1.042738 3.345456 2.479949e+01
2025-03-02 0.073731 0.121566 0.214703 0.441223 1.128753 4.157543 4.776098e+01
2025-03-09 0.067825 0.113771 0.205699 0.438606 1.196175 5.027169 9.607467e+01
2025-03-16 0.062200 0.105783 0.194918 0.428442 1.233649 5.838793 1.968065e+02
2025-03-23 0.059093 0.102328 0.193345 0.442775 1.375132 7.771301 8.435413e+02
2025-03-30 0.054549 0.095552 0.183495 0.431704 1.411384 9.074661 3.743328e+03
2025-04-06 0.051588 0.091708 0.179849 0.438392 1.536413 11.914614 1.019288e+06
2025-04-13 0.048278 0.086773 0.172889 0.433035 1.603318 14.587146 NaN
2025-04-20 0.046143 0.084099 0.170985 0.443643 1.767891 20.294208 NaN
2025-04-27 0.044522 0.082351 0.171097 0.461346 1.997955 30.764506 NaN
2025-05-04 0.042773 0.080129 0.169655 0.473356 2.213384 46.277375 NaN
2025-05-11 0.041292 0.078350 0.169105 0.488792 2.481620 75.545147 NaN
2025-05-18 0.039681 0.076114 0.166994 0.497727 2.721232 122.629525 NaN
2025-05-25 0.038034 0.073636 0.163873 0.501793 2.934489 200.322730 NaN
2025-06-01 0.036292 0.070787 0.159337 0.498691 3.084458 314.856411 NaN
2025-06-08 0.034423 0.067487 0.153120 0.486656 3.133647 445.056580 NaN